College Football · resolved market
O/U 53.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b19fe6f01b9d5b400d1f5acf73984a1f2f0e8e8c0a782aa6b7df3046806f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $901,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,273,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Under | 57c | 349,558$199,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,597.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 43c | 219,538$93,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,955.8 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 43c | 54,190$23,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,301.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 30,675$13,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,188.9 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Under | 53c | 20,659$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,659.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 14,250$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 43c | 6,395$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 6,313$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.69 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 43c | 5,877$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 4,511$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.83 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Over | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 3,516$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.98 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 3,452$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.44 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 3,282$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.08 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 58c | 3,060$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 1,996$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.92 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 1,406$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.26 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 1,181$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.64 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 44c | 1,144$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…22aabacked Over | 43c | 1,086$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 47c | 900$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Over | 43c | 851.16$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 43c | 819$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Under | 52c | 530.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Over | 43c | 361.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 359$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Over | 43c | 337.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 320.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Over | 48c | 308.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 25c | 237$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 44c | 225.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 221$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…c5a5backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over | 43c | 173.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 52c | 134.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…4130backed Over | 49c | 106.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d650backed Over | 43c | 46.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 43c | 40.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…0fb4backed Over | 44c | 39.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…17c6backed Under | 57c | 39.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…b521backed Under | 57c | 30.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…2363backed Over | 44c | 30.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…0507backed Over | 44c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 69c | 24.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 53.5this page
- Old Dominion vs. South FloridaOld Dominion won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: 1H MoneylineSouth Florida won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida (-2.5)Old Dominion won
- Spread: South Florida (-3.5)Old Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.