College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Florida (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10746c841af40d38b0371495b9e6ad2d019befdbceec51bf4adda1f50ed96170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominionof South Florida, Old Dominion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Florida | 52c | 8,863$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.64 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion | 48c | 8,031$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.14 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion | 43c | 3,760$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed South Florida | 57c | 3,401$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.57 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed South Florida | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…114fbacked Old Dominion | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked South Florida | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Old Dominion | 47c | 244.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Old Dominion | 47c | 184$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Old Dominion | 46c | 176.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida | 55c | 152.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Old Dominion | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Old Dominion | 47c | 135.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Florida | 54c | 126.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Old Dominion | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Old Dominion | 45c | 118.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Old Dominion | 45c | 118$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Old Dominion | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked South Florida | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed South Florida | 52c | 98.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Old Dominion | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Old Dominion | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Old Dominion | 44c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Old Dominion | 46c | 72.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Old Dominion | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Old Dominion | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Old Dominion | 40c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Old Dominion | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Old Dominion | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Old Dominion | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed South Florida | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed South Florida | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed South Florida | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Old Dominion | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Old Dominion | 47c | 40.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked South Florida | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed South Florida | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…c28abacked South Florida | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed South Florida | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed South Florida | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed South Florida | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked South Florida | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed South Florida | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed South Florida | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed South Florida | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed South Florida | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Old Dominion | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Old Dominion | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked South Florida | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked South Florida | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked South Florida | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed South Florida | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida (-2.5)this page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South FloridaOld Dominion won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: 1H MoneylineSouth Florida won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida (-3.5)Old Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.