TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: South Florida (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominionof South Florida, Old Dominion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4335…fc2fbacked Old Dominion50c121,669$60,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,162.3512055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed South Florida50c56,499$28,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,208.493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida51c34,679$17,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,714.8252449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed South Florida49c16,599$8,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,071.6639954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida51c14,069$7,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,174.8158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Old Dominion54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6009540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida49c6,204$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.22,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked South Florida50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Old Dominion48c5,000$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.9920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed South Florida47c1,231$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.89250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Old Dominion50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed South Florida43c735$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0521644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Florida30c604.92$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.862843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed South Florida53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31813444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed South Florida48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed South Florida51c495.37$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed South Florida52c419.62$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.221348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7178…0c07backed Old Dominion49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked South Florida51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed South Florida52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15613548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Old Dominion55c250.02$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5126939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Old Dominion55c222$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a8…4130backed South Florida51c207.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Old Dominion50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked South Florida51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Old Dominion56c173$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Old Dominion53c162$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Old Dominion57c151$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.932152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Old Dominion55c147$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Old Dominion50c138$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Old Dominion57c117$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Old Dominion55c117$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Old Dominion55c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Old Dominion56c114$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…3f81backed Old Dominion54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Old Dominion48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed South Florida50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked South Florida51c93.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Florida47c92.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida45c92.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed South Florida28c84.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Old Dominion51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked South Florida45c75.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Florida45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.756051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed South Florida46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Old Dominion69c62.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Old Dominion49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.034358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Old Dominion52c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed South Florida51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0111056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed South Florida50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked South Florida44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked South Florida44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked South Florida45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Old Dominion56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed South Florida47c46.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed South Florida46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed South Florida45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed South Florida45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Old Dominion56c44.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed South Florida44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Old Dominion55c42.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0828440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…ecb1backed Old Dominion59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…9f0ebacked South Florida53c41.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked South Florida44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked South Florida45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked South Florida52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked South Florida43c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed South Florida45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked South Florida44c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed South Florida43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked South Florida50c36.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.091030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed South Florida45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked South Florida44c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed South Florida45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed South Florida44c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Old Dominion55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed South Florida45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Old Dominion49c31.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0211545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked South Florida43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked South Florida47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked South Florida45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked South Florida49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed South Florida45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed South Florida43c28.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked South Florida45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked South Florida45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed South Florida43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Florida45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed South Florida43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Old Dominion71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2526940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked South Florida45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed South Florida43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked South Florida45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed South Florida45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed South Florida45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Old Dominion70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed South Florida45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked South Florida51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…715abacked South Florida57c20.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.