College Football · resolved market
Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb82431ce7a43b9b97aa3062133ec35c8beb6c7b4e47e6f615e6170614c2c6e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 29,685$14,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,354.22 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 19,645$9,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,918.51 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 52c | 18,982$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870.54 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 10,685$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.41 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 50c | 9,801$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 52c | 9,335$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 65c | 8,368$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 6,268$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.09 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 2,600$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 50c | 1,665$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 48c | 1,459$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 60c | 843.33$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Under | 53c | 53.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5this page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South FloridaOld Dominion won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: 1H MoneylineSouth Florida won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5Under won
- Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida (-2.5)Old Dominion won
- Spread: South Florida (-3.5)Old Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.