TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Old Dominion vs. South Florida: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
South Floridaof Old Dominion, South Florida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Old Dominion42c353.99$149 inLost-$148.689444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed South Florida53c201$107 inWon+$94.471361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed South Florida55c121.76$67 inWon+$55.211833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked South Florida57c118$67 inWon+$50.744643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed South Florida56c101$57 inWon+$44.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked South Florida55c99.34$55 inWon+$44.342744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed South Florida54c65$35 inWon+$29.91560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Old Dominion47c47$22 inLost-$22.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Old Dominion47c45$21 inLost-$21.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed South Florida57c37$21 inWon+$15.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Old Dominion47c37$17 inLost-$17.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Old Dominion47c33$16 inLost-$15.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed South Florida59c31.55$19 inWon+$12.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Old Dominion46c29$13 inLost-$13.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Old Dominion47c29$14 inLost-$13.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Old Dominion46c27$12 inLost-$12.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Old Dominion44c26$11 inLost-$11.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida53c24$13 inWon+$11.2848546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Old Dominion47c24$11 inLost-$11.284358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Old Dominion44c23$10 inLost-$10.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Old Dominion69c16.67$11 inLost-$11.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.