TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64e7…fc5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$128.99
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.99
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.99
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$71.75
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,692Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$715.48
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,503Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.1%+$1,599.17
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,422.41
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+235.1%+$1,333
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,784
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,669.98
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$253
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$30.04
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will GPT-5 be released on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$600
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,209.46
Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$344
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$22.6
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$108.06
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$166.29
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$167
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$88.6
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$948.45
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+900%+$565.65
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$135
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$440
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$42
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$145.5
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,372.9
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.73
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$944.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,739.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$89.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,560
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$719.99
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,805Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40%+$1,922.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 August second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$485
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$113
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,781
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$840
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,575
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$701.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.