NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd909b92f9835307a0eb1377a03adee91900f048a194910e21e97e117f089afb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 184,405$95,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,518.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 30,250$14,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,518.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 23,261$11,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,172.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 18,318$8,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,792.7 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Under | 48c | 14,271$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…2088backed Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…01d5backed Under | 49c | 11,550$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 10,138$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 8,246$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 3,290$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Over | 51c | 1,974$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 1,623$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.95 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 1,594$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.22 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 1,190$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Under | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 824$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.52 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 50c | 625.8$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 595.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 51c | 554.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 53c | 553.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 50c | 545.42$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Under | 19c | 428.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 52c | 393.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 47c | 279.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 277.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 50c | 215.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 202.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 180.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Over | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 151.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 52c | 151.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Under | 50c | 146.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 52c | 145.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…807ebacked Over | 53c | 125.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 124.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Under | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 87.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…22d0backed Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Over | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 18c | 66.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 49c | 61.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 53c | 60.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 53c | 51.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 48c | 42.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4189…c0c2backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. PenguinsOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.