NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb08575bf97884d28ff8dc173568e0adceeadf371d1b2defdd394b38bbb6c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 63c | 14,244$8,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,973.28 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Oilers | 37c | 14,041$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…1d24backed Oilers | 36c | 950$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Oilers | 37c | 743.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…71e4backed Penguins | 64c | 420$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…3f39backed Penguins | 64c | 330$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 63c | 277.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Penguins | 65c | 274$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Oilers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 36c | 255.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Penguins | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Penguins | 65c | 247$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Penguins | 64c | 208$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…873ebacked Penguins | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Penguins | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Penguins | 64c | 196$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Penguins | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Oilers | 34c | 171.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Penguins | 65c | 165$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Penguins | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Penguins | 64c | 123$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 34c | 102.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Penguins | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Penguins | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Oilers | 35c | 92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Penguins | 65c | 82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Oilers | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Penguins | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Oilers | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Penguins | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Penguins | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Oilers | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Oilers | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Penguins | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Oilers | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Penguins | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…db2dbacked Oilers | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Oilers | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oilers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Oilers | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Penguins | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 62c | 48.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Oilers | 36c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Oilers | 36c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Oilers | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Oilers | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Penguins | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Oilers | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Penguins | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Penguins | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Penguins | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Oilers | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Penguins | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Oilers | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Oilers | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Penguins | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Oilers | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Oilers | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Oilers | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Penguins | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Oilers | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Oilers | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Oilers | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Oilers | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Oilers | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Oilers | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Penguins | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Oilers | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Oilers | 39c | 30.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oilers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…2636backed Oilers | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Oilers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Oilers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Penguins | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Penguins | 66c | 28.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Oilers | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Oilers | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…65bfbacked Oilers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Penguins | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Penguins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3b16backed Penguins | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Penguins | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Oilers vs. PenguinsOilers won
- Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.