NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65a2f1aa8aafd45e49b54bbea99781cd69a6c8ce979c5f3c51737486e740d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 23c | 75,000$17,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,125 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 71c | 69,726$49,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,121.09 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 42c | 61,754$25,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,936.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Oilers | 58c | 58,000$33,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,359.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Oilers | 58c | 43,001$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,001.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 43c | 14,513$6,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Penguins | 43c | 11,602$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 42c | 9,286$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 57c | 8,452$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.46 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 43c | 7,396$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.28 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Oilers | 57c | 7,127$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.72 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Penguins | 13c | 5,216$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.69 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Oilers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 43c | 4,995$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 42c | 4,671$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oilers | 57c | 4,477$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.97 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 57c | 4,176$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.48 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 43c | 3,773$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.38 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 31c | 3,532$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.84 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 25c | 3,346$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.63 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 2c | 2,726$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Penguins | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…4dd1backed Penguins | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…ea7cbacked Oilers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,388$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.08 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,139$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.5 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 22c | 2,085$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Penguins | 43c | 2,063$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.09 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Penguins | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 43c | 1,838$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.62 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,795$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 1,777$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…c7abbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers | 68c | 1,738$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…20a7backed Penguins | 43c | 1,706$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e85…0d9bbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 42c | 1,700$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 44c | 1,666$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.47 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 43c | 1,500$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.97 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,451$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.91 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…73acbacked Oilers | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Penguins | 46c | 1,396$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.15 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Oilers | 72c | 1,338$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…12e9backed Oilers | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,114$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.65 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…95d4backed Oilers | 57c | 1,035$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…ad7cbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Penguins | 42c | 999.85$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Penguins | 11c | 951$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Penguins | 43c | 950$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…fc50backed Oilers | 57c | 930.21$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…2c2abacked Penguins | 44c | 930$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…b36bbacked Penguins | 44c | 929.55$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…2be9backed Penguins | 44c | 880$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 14c | 864.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Penguins | 23c | 845.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Penguins | 43c | 820.93$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Penguins | 43c | 814.82$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Penguins | 43c | 799.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Penguins | 43c | 752.97$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.78 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…7bb4backed Oilers | 57c | 690$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Penguins | 3c | 649.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins | 42c | 633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Penguins | 25c | 631.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Penguins | 37c | 613$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Penguins | 43c | 600$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Oilers | 57c | 599.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 56c | 577.15$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 42c | 570.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Penguins | 43c | 568.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…4cb0backed Oilers | 57c | 562.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Penguins | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penguins | 16c | 547.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 43c | 540$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Oilers | 52c | 540$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Oilers | 57c | 537.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 70c | 532$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed Penguins | 25c | 515.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…ff52backed Oilers | 58c | 504.95$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +300.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Penguins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Penguins | 43c | 498.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Penguins | 43c | 479.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Penguins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Penguins | 24c | 444.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 14c | 443.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Penguins | 27c | 437.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…235bbacked Oilers | 57c | 415$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…5041backed Oilers | 57c | 410$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 78c | 397.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.