TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb65c…dcdf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10149.5%50 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.04
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.14
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$39.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.11
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.78
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39%+$73.28
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.95
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.75
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.76
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$44.39
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$137.39
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$35.31
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117.8
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$289.7
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$103.1
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$146.7
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+110.6%+$228.82
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$109.04
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129.53
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$118.35
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.43
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.7%+$32.8
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+138.7%+$34.53
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$218.9
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$477.2
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$98.12
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$381.1
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$275.7
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$355.7
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$515
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$312.3
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$345.4
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$325.82
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55.65
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$370.5
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$71.7
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$244.5
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+109.1%+$332.79
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$48.2
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$299.6
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$322.85
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$348.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$71.24
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$18.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.57
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$35.64
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$479.75
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$227.6
Will Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$229.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$37.93
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$665.32
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$167.64
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$366
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$73.63
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$291.3
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$214
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$41.38
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$67.71
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$73.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$227.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$55.29
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$69.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$585.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.1
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+300%+$103.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$154.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$30.86
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$290.6
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$294.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$44.26
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$138.67
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$293.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$76.24
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.14
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$39.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+89.4%+$104.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.