Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb124160884df28953e4e29c786e3dafa20ca7dbf5159a6b069694ab5aeacee2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 79c | 27,935$22,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 18,036$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 13,683$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.23 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 12,500$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 80c | 11,577$9,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 9,685$7,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 79c | 9,600$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 79c | 9,600$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 5,583$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.51 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 79c | 4,276$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,714$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.47 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 79c | 3,124$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.04 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 79c | 2,400$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 80c | 1,594$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 79c | 1,440$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yes | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 21c | 1,027$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 17c | 973.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 80c | 955$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 918.96$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.13 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…12c5backed No | 74c | 904.58$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 805.42$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 789$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 20c | 690.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 19c | 630$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 556$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 80c | 501.84$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 19c | 467.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 22c | 455.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 17c | 434.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 79c | 411$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 372.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 343.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 339.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 314.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…ceaebacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 79c | 294.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 10c | 288.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 78c | 285$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 22c | 283$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 267.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 80c | 226.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 180.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 41c | 168.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes | 20c | 161.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 63c | 159.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…e206backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 21c | 113.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…cb9bbacked Yes | 20c | 111.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 22c | 110.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 75c | 108.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 61c | 106.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 80c | 106.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 99.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 71c | 97.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 59c | 95.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked No | 79c | 93.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed No | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 21c | 93.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 44c | 81.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…677fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 41c | 75.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…cec1backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 21c | 71.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 20c | 65.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 79c | 62.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 20c | 50.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…969ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed No | 80c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 79c | 39.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 80c | 38.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed No | 76c | 38.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa679…4e3abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3cfdbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
- Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.