TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd141…5e5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.62
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.19
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$41.13
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$41.27
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$37.86
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$30.86
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$35.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.96
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.86
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$52.97
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$54.92
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.43
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$90.72
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.86
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.07
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+301.6%+$37.7
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$24.15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.