TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No74c56,563$41,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,706.386142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c25,110$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,555.222,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c15,780$12,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,689.732,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c15,333$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.451,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c13,323$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes11c4,603$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8310341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c4,096$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.061,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c3,638$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.8821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes26c3,051$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.269347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c3,019$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8156437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No74c2,844$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.446261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c2,416$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.161,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes27c2,143$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.567332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c1,718$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.869763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No74c1,586$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.471457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No74c1,581$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.097448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,509$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c1,218$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c1,173$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30510626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c1,138$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes26c1,132$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3410838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a55…5c30backed Yes27c1,018$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26075850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes15c984$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c950.26$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22819732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes27c903.7$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes8c900$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Yes32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd327…ae2cbacked No74c836.11$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes26c770$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.22725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes45c709.78$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.46136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes26c692.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.083542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes25c642.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…49a6backed No74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No73c586.11$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.252166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c583.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No74c558.11$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.111752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes26c533$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…8d20backed Yes27c505.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes25c469.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0259445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x667c…7958backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed No58c370.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.951478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+101.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes36c350.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No60c324.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.554630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c291$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c280.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.861,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes26c269.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0610053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes43c268.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c259.8$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes20c255.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes24c254.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…427bbacked No74c244.27$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked No75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No73c239.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3912241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c213.56$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.669555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e9…4c3cbacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372412.5%3 W · 21 L-8.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-62%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x572a…2a4abacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386330.2%19 W · 44 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes27c198.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e7…8a98backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4443…f82fbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes8c180$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes25c176.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes26c176.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c171$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No45c167.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.416520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes26c163.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.374245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Yes26c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c158.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes27c151.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.953040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes26c149.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No74c140$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.