TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$346,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No52c16,021$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400.252,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c14,115$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,129.091,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c13,959$7,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.762,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c10,418$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7007750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No36c8,818$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.4310042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No56c7,493$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.889856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c6,101$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.581,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes78c5,962$4,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.916136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…d5dbbacked No60c4,965$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c4,946$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.572,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No58c4,880$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.699256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c4,722$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes43c4,548$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.361020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No55c4,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9615944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No57c3,860$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c3,678$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.91,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes49c3,672$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c3,428$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.041,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes44c3,131$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.149347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes44c3,018$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.186437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No32c2,987$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9475232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No31c2,903$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.317353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes47c2,861$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No34c2,393$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5710341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes43c2,369$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.427147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No28c2,249$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.625862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.918259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed No60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1203941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.957844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2b0…8090backed No56c1,946$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes66c1,934$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.78062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9068…aaadbacked Yes45c1,890$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1c…7573backed Yes40c1,856$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes41c1,803$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.6617234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No51c1,768$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.94630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes44c1,740$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.7320246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No59c1,715$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6324146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes44c1,687$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.831650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c1,557$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.2968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No56c1,553$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No45c1,527$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes55c1,514$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.0425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No58c1,500$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8696046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9760728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No58c1,475$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.510246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes57c1,325$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.3516548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes43c1,207$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.972466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6848348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No58c1,200$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No20c1,171$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1317327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes44c1,128$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.3830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes48c1,113$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.762927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9480…7456backed Yes79c1,111$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes45c1,064$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8317428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes48c1,053$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6125225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No57c1,045$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes46c1,000$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.425350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Yes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5909358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c997.86$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Yes46c988$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c978.8$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.144,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked No60c940.23$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc22…b893backed Yes44c936.36$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes66c936.31$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes48c916$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.321729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked No55c901.82$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4962157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Yes74c900$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Yes44c895$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes45c890.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.896437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No56c888$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.287544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No59c874.89$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.193441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes47c853.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.539154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes66c807.09$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes45c711.11$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1117634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf823…2b46backed Yes46c710$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.443351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca6…9399backed No55c690$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5593…6be6backed No55c680$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No30c667.34$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…1e50backed Yes46c660$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes48c630.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.189451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No23c628$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes48c627.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.313339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.246144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34221656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes43c570$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.912448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No57c508$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.563839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes48c500$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2055957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked No25c500$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x383f…38c0backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.