TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes31c35,000$10,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,849.963348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes22c26,271$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.326431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c24,541$17,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5932,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c13,496$10,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.7496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c8,539$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.0245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c5,385$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.5998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.998463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c4,413$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.3349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c3,679$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.5127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes2c3,672$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.310039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c2,046$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.0732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No69c1,004$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3816448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1f2…b0f3backed Yes22c975$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No69c884.32$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes23c876$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.453243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9669…8ae2backed No71c509.86$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c500$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c475.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c352.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a54dbacked No69c335.68$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c314.52$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No78c299.39$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.871681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+117.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes30c298.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.519826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0d…0d74backed No71c291.55$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes16c244.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.18737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c242$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…05ebbacked No71c216.9$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No70c215.41$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.662035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c202.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe760…973abacked No71c187.32$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.32366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes31c180.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0a…f786backed No71c178.87$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.87560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc5…3bc2backed No71c156.34$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246d…21e9backed No71c150.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c141$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4320741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c139.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.739150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…45d2backed No71c138.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No73c135.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No68c128.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9724238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae80…186cbacked No71c121.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No70c118.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.53271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4051…8322backed No71c118.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a5…d778backed No71c101.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c30…7320backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d3…5255backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23fb…70b1backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes15c98.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9217529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes24c98.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd74c…7f21backed Yes17c96.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes24c96.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c89.35$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes16c75.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes29c66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1411349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ea…6d0fbacked Yes32c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb0…f860backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1723…9d18backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No79c58.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No69c56.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5219542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c51.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.255942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes32c45.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes31c39.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes34c31.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c28.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No75c25.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4624955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No71c23.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.748160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No69c19.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9610451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed No69c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ca…67b9backed No71c14.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked No69c14.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.511266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No72c13.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.834652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.