Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61345c4ee801a24205c38bd914e6d3a5d1b9d884bcc32916a5a52cee642f2a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 25c | 24,400$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.86 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 15,414$11,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.3 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 15,373$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.38 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 77c | 7,030$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.21 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 6,862$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 77c | 6,294$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.52 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 1c | 3,356$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 1,855$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.97 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 1,322$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.05 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 76c | 1,124$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.86 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 1,081$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 77c | 809.62$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 15c | 517.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…9138backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 77c | 261.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 140.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 130.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 115.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 23c | 92.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 23c | 85.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 23c | 63.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 23c | 61.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked Yes | 39c | 54.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 77c | 44.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.