TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x632f…9e6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.79
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$94.26
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$148.47
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+119.8%+$109.87
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$51.39
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.7
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$19.22
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$53.34
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+52.3%+$16
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.43
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.94
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.79
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.19
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.5%+$50.1
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+190%+$98.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.53
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$226.4
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.08
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$36.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$50.58
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$69.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$71.87
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$31.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$69.41
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.83
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.74
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$123.34
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$104.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.