Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7599b14f1d211819e2ae07cad9568fe29cc4ff36bfb0bccea0c6c924a31877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 79c | 4,344$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.79 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 3,651$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 2,341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 2,273$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.21 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 1,433$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 1,236$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 17c | 1,125$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 748.97$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 606.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 548$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 21c | 543.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 21c | 541.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 8c | 528$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 424$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 401.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 6c | 382.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 22c | 378.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 62c | 365.63$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 57c | 283.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 77c | 249.92$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 79c | 239.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 21c | 172.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 74c | 99.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 91.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 21c | 70.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked No | 26c | 64.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…3ba3backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 78c | 48.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 65c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…a575backed Yes | 79c | 27.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…14f4backed Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…f964backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.