Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae63eb34a46a8775db025537dc7696bf821fb1a7e6716f3fcec410f2b8e50668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,393,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,424,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,393,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 46c | 505,344$234,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,881.32 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 54c | 133,827$71,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,160.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 109,561$65,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,354.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 53c | 60,254$31,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,319.17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…649bbacked Yes | 47c | 60,127$28,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,259.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 58,764$31,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,340.4 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 43c | 57,166$24,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,733.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 46c | 55,114$25,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,352.27 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 57c | 48,886$27,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,252.51 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 55c | 46,276$25,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,948.95 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 39,054$24,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,032.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 36,543$19,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,675.1 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 32,174$19,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,384.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 54c | 28,735$15,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,285.22 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 43c | 26,687$11,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,576.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 21,500$11,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 53c | 21,496$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,103.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 53c | 18,336$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 17,981$10,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,888.23 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 55c | 17,689$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,960.11 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 53c | 16,942$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,961.79 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 15,816$8,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.13 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 53c | 15,743$8,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.29 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 14,288$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.79 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 13,957$10,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.6 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 19c | 11,767$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.79 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 11,433$7,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.49 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 31c | 11,361$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 46c | 11,318$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.3 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 43c | 11,230$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 11,131$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.25 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 46c | 10,465$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.81 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 10,351$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.78 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 10,122$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.26 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 9,999$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.87 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 54c | 9,985$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.24 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 9,971$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.92 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.99 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 54c | 9,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.85 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 54c | 8,560$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 8,275$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.01 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 54c | 8,000$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.97 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 43c | 7,907$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 35c | 6,813$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.95 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 54c | 6,214$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Yes | 36c | 6,075$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 18c | 6,053$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 34c | 5,603$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 5,377$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.05 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 5,307$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.1 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 55c | 5,300$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.97 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Yes | 46c | 4,971$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 53c | 4,609$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.18 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 53c | 4,578$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 55c | 4,503$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 4,459$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.99 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 55c | 4,324$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.65 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 43c | 4,267$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 53c | 4,216$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.48 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 54c | 4,181$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 54c | 4,030$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 3,983$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 45c | 3,869$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.93 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 46c | 3,867$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.02 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 54c | 3,778$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 45c | 3,521$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.15 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 36c | 3,500$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 3,400$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 57c | 3,076$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 3,046$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.68 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed No | 53c | 3,030$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 46c | 2,852$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.96 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 53c | 2,844$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed No | 53c | 2,809$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 54c | 2,699$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.95 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 45c | 2,489$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.47 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 2,462$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…530bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,364$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 64c | 2,314$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.1 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 54c | 2,284$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74a…1babbacked Yes | 47c | 2,082$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.