Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78d548708eba4be64dfcb6916c7779c0a66a75f6fe6251f3699c2fb5ec8aa01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $765,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $869,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 71c | 142,211$101,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,313.86 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 29c | 98,739$28,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,104.84 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,400 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 37,491$26,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,394.62 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 31,985$9,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,276.98 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 31,637$17,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,450.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 31,470$13,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,317.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 28,038$10,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,546.19 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 71c | 23,015$16,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,340.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes | 29c | 21,563$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 30c | 20,981$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,741.33 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 73c | 17,484$12,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.96 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 30c | 13,269$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,292.93 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 71c | 12,289$8,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,725.51 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 29c | 12,054$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,558.1 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 44c | 10,982$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 29c | 10,781$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,654.71 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 78c | 10,064$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 28c | 9,999$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 9,474$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,717 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 58c | 8,657$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.2 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 70c | 6,985$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.19 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 6,765$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.64 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 30c | 6,387$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 6,221$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.65 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 6,083$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.38 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,391$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 70c | 5,366$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 29c | 4,952$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.97 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 29c | 4,952$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.97 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 72c | 4,916$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.52 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 4,900$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.86 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes | 29c | 4,741$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 4,729$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.94 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 47c | 4,585$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.77 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 4,379$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.59 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 57c | 3,845$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 16c | 3,833$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.38 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes | 50c | 3,808$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 28c | 3,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 71c | 3,484$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 29c | 3,301$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 29c | 3,301$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 29c | 3,301$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 63c | 3,261$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.6 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 29c | 3,204$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 31c | 3,061$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 70c | 2,810$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.9 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 29c | 2,662$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.07 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 29c | 2,641$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.18 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…0c44backed Yes | 29c | 2,476$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 71c | 2,391$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.33 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…9c89backed Yes | 29c | 2,311$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,295$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,193$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.23 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 2,078$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.45 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 2,069$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.96 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 72c | 2,048$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.8 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 1,992$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.66 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 1,854$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.16 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 29c | 1,750$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.99 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Yes | 29c | 1,628$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 29c | 1,620$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 30c | 1,576$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.33 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 29c | 1,513$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.27 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 71c | 1,454$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 1,387$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.31 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 72c | 1,366$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.2 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 54c | 1,365$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 29c | 1,321$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.59 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 37c | 1,241$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.08 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 70c | 1,235$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 40c | 1,141$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 30c | 1,118$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 71c | 1,111$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 54c | 1,073$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,043$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 31c | 1,031$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 30c | 1,015$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.84 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 992.11$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.86 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Yes | 29c | 987.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 71c | 970.89$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.33 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 30c | 958$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 925.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 39c | 907.03$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.72 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.