TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b1b…bc0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$379.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+241.6%+$1,623.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.4%+$40.42
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.2%+$57.6
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.4
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+106.7%+$213.32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$132.29
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,066.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$165.11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$753.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$277.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+86.9%+$86.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.7%+$51.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.