Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2b8e1f4d8603c1519bc4c0315fb5c7ab111ff696d24703a18ca8085cddbbfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $810,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 3c | 118,894$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 70,000$22,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 49c | 64,920$31,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,337.35 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 70c | 49,278$34,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,648.56 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 51c | 42,626$21,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,727.02 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 51c | 41,548$21,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,184.64 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 49c | 25,532$12,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,021.32 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 51c | 23,128$11,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,795.27 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 22,197$11,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,542.43 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 53c | 19,103$10,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 52c | 18,856$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.32 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 14,803$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 49c | 13,367$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.35 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 6c | 12,590$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.4 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 49c | 11,208$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,716.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 10,247$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.21 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…eab0backed Yes | 49c | 10,097$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 9,865$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 51c | 7,826$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 31c | 7,452$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.75 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 52c | 7,274$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 6,798$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.44 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 11c | 6,477$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.89 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…acc1backed Yes | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 52c | 6,104$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.04 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 10c | 5,875$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.89 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 14c | 4,728$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.82 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 4,433$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.03 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 51c | 4,182$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.89 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 40c | 4,000$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.4 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 1c | 3,925$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 5c | 3,642$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 3,549$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.24 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 49c | 3,540$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.78 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 2,992$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.37 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 2,414$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.06 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,285$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 80c | 2,251$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.61 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 49c | 2,039$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.93 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Yes | 49c | 2,033$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed No | 5c | 1,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…248ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,611$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.82 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…9bd3backed Yes | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…c36cbacked No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 48c | 1,538$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 49c | 1,391$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.53 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,316$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,251$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 49c | 1,231$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,181$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.49 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 1,110$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.03 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 48c | 1,037$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.05 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…2125backed Yes | 50c | 998.6$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 50c | 940.54$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.27 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 52c | 878.59$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.08 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 51c | 819.61$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 46c | 780.31$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 48c | 743.73$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 50c | 738.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 47c | 720.19$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 50c | 660.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 53c | 644.9$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 49c | 628.73$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 49c | 611.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 50c | 605.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 49c | 601.06$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 573.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 47c | 572.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed No | 3c | 570$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 528.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.74 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 48c | 527.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.21 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 50c | 515.38$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.