TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05bb…8ef9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Earnings at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$97.89
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.5%+$122.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+54.6%+$109.27
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.7%+$185.18
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.6%+$145.17
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+52.2%+$52.16
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$460
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,397.06
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$501.58
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+131.2%+$91.87
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.54
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45.8
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$546.87
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$130.7
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$466.67
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Packers Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Spread: Browns (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Spread: Panthers (-5.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$1,338.46
All 21 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+1,336.6%+$801.97
Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Real Madridbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami-Middletown ThunderHawks vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Miami-Middletown ThunderHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+359.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+819.7%+$819.72
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.