TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$390,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No8c46,126$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No64c28,479$18,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,087.1521853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No3c15,674$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No3c13,196$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6113829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No6c12,113$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.281,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c11,226$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No3c10,000$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c7,918$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No25c5,945$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.422,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes36c4,999$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.621,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No1c3,607$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6710042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes58c3,510$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.142638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c3,187$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.851,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c3,048$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8901442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes37c2,999$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.582035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No32c2,789$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.827343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5824047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5756833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.939845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes37c2,432$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.435536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Yes36c2,350$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c2,305$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.721,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked No64c2,300$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4721457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No3c2,274$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.621,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.986240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.877754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes38c1,629$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9522534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No18c1,600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2949646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No4c1,546$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0511712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes38c1,513$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No58c1,349$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.168853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked No63c1,190$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No62c1,160$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2414147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No14c1,126$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.374930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No62c1,098$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6325752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes36c1,091$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.6639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes38c1,055$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes37c999.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9814854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes36c999.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9820040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No62c999.95$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9715944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes36c969.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6317833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes75c839.68$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.758242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes37c815.42$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7125551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked No45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes71c772.37$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.373243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No62c763$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0615764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes38c752.63$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No2c734.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9744939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes37c732$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1611945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba79…4c9ebacked Yes57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No20c696.47$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No63c670$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.110159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ea…c9a5backed Yes61c669.55$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked Yes55c650$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.52050%10 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No34c607.68$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.310459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c592$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.141,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked No7c538.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes37c535.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.347557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes38c527.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.849537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked No4c523.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes38c517$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.5414456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c501$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0328070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes37c500.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0125836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Yes58c491.71$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No63c483.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2230739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked No4c470.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8190%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes37c462.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed No7c431.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.08119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.411047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No4c407.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed No13c400$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes58c355.17$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No64c328.34$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.149753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8a…4926backed No63c318.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9473…ad17backed No63c314.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes36c305.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.567358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12723531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No63c300$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes36c299.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No62c299.98$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes57c295.01$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.361580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No63c291.9$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8937342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked No64c290.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe82b…91d3backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f87…be27backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274540%18 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes38c269.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3911143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.165518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.165042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.