TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Packers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Packers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,264,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,295,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,264,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Panthers13c121,597$15,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,789.6219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Packers71c92,373$65,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,491.2230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Panthers12c79,999$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,399.377035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Panthers14c75,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,50010026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Panthers14c75,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,50016836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Panthers13c43,809$5,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,191.6822950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Panthers27c31,805$8,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,117.1912144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers31c31,559$9,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,727.9547738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Panthers23c30,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,20013843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers22c29,850$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,28310333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers12c29,221$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,74330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Panthers57c28,753$16,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,250.882740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers14c22,223$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,111.924456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Packers52c22,193$11,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,547.719235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Panthers13c20,820$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,113.416545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Panthers47c20,772$9,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,962.0941947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Panthers12c16,050$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,123.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Packers1c12,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Panthers13c12,153$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,609.593423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers13c10,100$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,73883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Panthers21c9,141$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,225.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Packers79c8,333$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.0628447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Packers56c8,216$4,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.8260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Panthers16c6,989$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.994440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Panthers14c6,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,16018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers12c5,772$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.1853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Panthers22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9882…d3bdbacked Panthers13c4,100$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+213.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers14c3,500$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Panthers16c3,407$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Packers78c3,364$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.539952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Packers6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9811122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa414…18febacked Panthers14c3,321$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Panthers12c3,283$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.0312039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Panthers50c3,277$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Packers53c3,187$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.9227644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Packers16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Panthers13c3,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Packers71c2,661$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.4227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Panthers15c2,520$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.322934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Packers54c2,459$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.0650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Panthers23c2,446$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.462821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers19c2,318$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.0331543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbc…93ebbacked Panthers13c2,308$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+131.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Packers21c2,265$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5920026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Panthers25c2,185$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.718946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Panthers13c2,160$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.21435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers61c1,990$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9431056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Panthers14c1,820$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.2416551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Panthers14c1,800$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.9214443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Packers46c1,781$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Panthers13c1,685$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.742227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x242d…603abacked Panthers12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.671040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…e934backed Panthers31c1,602$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+169%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03d7…48cfbacked Panthers12c1,600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+316.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers14c1,573$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.8231854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Panthers13c1,538$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.462147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…92ccbacked Panthers12c1,535$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.84341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers49c1,470$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x233d…0d05backed Panthers52c1,466$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers14c1,354$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.8633553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bd…a5dbbacked Panthers12c1,350$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Packers1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.334311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Packers68c1,325$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.2123850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panthers12c1,200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.7227633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Panthers13c1,154$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.858037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Panthers19c1,107$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.4913842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Panthers14c1,090$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Packers79c1,047$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.897733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff2…47e6backed Panthers60c1,032$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Packers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Panthers13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Panthers25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Panthers12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Panthers13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Panthers13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Panthers13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8704936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Panthers14c999$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.142540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Packers61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Panthers47c938.83$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.586100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Panthers30c904.94$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.746850%34 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Packers76c848.3$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3916254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa745…8dcdbacked Panthers15c800.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.331040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c83…0f55backed Panthers19c789.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.471540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e6…c0a9backed Panthers20c787.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.88933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919a…c017backed Packers77c771$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Panthers13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…54d9backed Panthers13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Panthers13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2328337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Panthers13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Panthers49c713.52$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Packers68c711.85$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.468532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffd…21fcbacked Panthers13c703.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+391%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Panthers14c700$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60214438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Panthers13c700$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6091250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Panthers14c700$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60212133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Panthers14c673.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.728640.7%35 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…9a5bbacked Panthers13c653.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+348.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Packers39c628.15$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0432043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Packers52c625$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32517248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.