MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864f0ca0b5d77dc117c7375ef2bbe73b227ab4897ced53b8929a83a8757300c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,542,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,026,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,542,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,731,660$761,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761,292.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dodgers | 56c | 407,641$228,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,362.12 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers | 56c | 364,500$204,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,379.98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 57c | 254,910$146,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,818.93 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 56c | 250,000$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 129,570$55,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,158.84 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Dodgers | 56c | 126,592$70,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,643.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 117,261$50,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,326.06 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 103,948$59,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,306.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jays | 42c | 98,845$41,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,673.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 80,339$35,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,349.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…7831backed Blue Jays | 2c | 72,229$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Dodgers | 57c | 61,181$34,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,307.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Blue Jays | 44c | 52,273$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 56c | 47,750$26,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,010 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 47,499$26,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,899.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 55c | 41,274$22,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,573.49 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 18c | 36,451$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.74 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Dodgers | 57c | 36,089$20,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,518.18 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…b124backed Blue Jays | 1c | 35,456$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d30bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 34,538$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,505.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dodgers | 56c | 31,456$17,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,840.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Blue Jays | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Dodgers | 56c | 27,903$15,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,277.32 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Blue Jays | 31c | 27,258$8,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…cb38backed Dodgers | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Dodgers | 56c | 21,484$12,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,422.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Dodgers | 56c | 20,689$11,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dodgers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 56c | 20,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.92 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 15c | 19,461$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.14 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Dodgers | 57c | 17,678$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Blue Jays | 44c | 17,462$7,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,683.27 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 17,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 12c | 16,302$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Dodgers | 56c | 16,128$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Dodgers | 56c | 16,079$9,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dodgers | 56c | 15,600$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,863 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 14,500$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 13,600$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Dodgers | 56c | 12,543$6,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dodgers | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Blue Jays | 1c | 12,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Dodgers | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Dodgers | 57c | 12,264$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 12,222$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.68 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dodgers | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 43c | 12,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Blue Jays | 44c | 11,751$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dodgers | 56c | 11,607$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.14 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Dodgers | 56c | 11,515$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 16c | 11,341$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Blue Jays | 44c | 11,300$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…6a03backed Blue Jays | 45c | 11,201$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Dodgers | 56c | 10,001$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…bc8abacked Blue Jays | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…8100backed Blue Jays | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Dodgers | 55c | 10,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 9,858$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.73 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Dodgers | 56c | 9,176$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Dodgers | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Dodgers | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 8,838$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 8,659$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.59 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 8,200$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Dodgers | 78c | 8,093$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.56 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Dodgers | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dodgers | 56c | 7,915$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.79 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Blue Jays | 32c | 7,887$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.34 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 56c | 7,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 7,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…3d29backed Dodgers | 58c | 7,433$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 35c | 7,182$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.75 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Dodgers | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 7,125$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 6,986$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Blue Jays | 22c | 6,951$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.32 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Dodgers | 56c | 6,405$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.09 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 56c | 6,160$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.4 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Blue Jays | 45c | 6,043$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…9594backed Blue Jays | 43c | 5,909$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cc…1140backed Blue Jays | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…fe04backed Blue Jays | 44c | 5,740$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,710$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…0974backed Dodgers | 57c | 5,610$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,603$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.52 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 17c | 5,586$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Dodgers | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,500$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Blue Jays | 41c | 5,493$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…2faabacked Blue Jays | 43c | 5,431$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…7924backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,166$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Dodgers | 62c | 5,158$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,100$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.