TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa71a…e4e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,700
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$820
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$960.78
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+316.7%+$3,166.67
Spread: Lions (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,250
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+377.9%+$1,889.36
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+194.1%+$776.47
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,450
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$258.82
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Spread: Broncos (-9.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$724.14
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$319.67
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+95.2%+$380.77
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$384.31
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$539
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$728.08
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$677.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92%+$745.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+83.7%+$2,824.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+115.4%+$1,627.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+57.2%+$803.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+136.2%+$1,362.02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$754.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$625.42
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,683.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$665.09
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$650
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$855.08
Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$970
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+131.5%+$420.91
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$2,203.84
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$430
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,054.05
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$600
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$440.48
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.3%+$473.45
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.28
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$234
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$984
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$4,002.43
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+146.2%+$3,677.09
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,722.11
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$449.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$364
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.