TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hornetsof 76ers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,173 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc10…3f05backed Hornets49c20,400$9,996 inWon+$10,4049650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers50c6,754$3,396 inLost-$3,395.522,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 76ers51c4,990$2,545 inLost-$2,544.947448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hornets50c3,840$1,901 inWon+$1,938.4771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers51c2,909$1,483 inLost-$1,483.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed 76ers51c2,895$1,476 inLost-$1,476.2430053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed 76ers51c2,612$1,332 inLost-$1,332.317946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets50c2,170$1,085 inWon+$1,0858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inLost-$1,000.111,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers51c1,785$910 inLost-$910.3565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked 76ers51c1,532$781 inLost-$781.3241848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers50c533.4$267 inLost-$266.774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed 76ers52c480.77$250 inLost-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed 76ers50c362$181 inLost-$1812,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets49c340.8$168 inWon+$173.193,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked 76ers52c130.77$68 inLost-$6813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Hornets52c57$30 inWon+$27.3659743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked 76ers51c50$26 inLost-$25.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Hornets49c50$25 inWon+$25.538151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Hornets50c40$20 inWon+$2035551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Hornets48c37$18 inWon+$19.0680148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Hornets50c21.68$11 inWon+$10.8434644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Hornets52c20$10 inWon+$9.64052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Hornets50c20$10 inWon+$101844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.