NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561f7126220521094d5f1fc82c715e83a9d8cef9a12da89d60ed7a1a56c3af18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof 76ers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Hornets | 51c | 10,010$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked 76ers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 52c | 6,498$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.01 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 52c | 5,480$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed 76ers | 48c | 4,382$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.37 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers | 47c | 3,514$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.98 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets | 56c | 1,373$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.24 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,278$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 76ers | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.56 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 42c | 786$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers | 44c | 785$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.3 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hornets | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 41c | 503.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 47c | 245.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Hornets | 59c | 220.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 47c | 206.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked 76ers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 52c | 162$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Hornets | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Hornets | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Hornets | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Hornets | 59c | 98.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…c955backed 76ers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hornets | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed 76ers | 47c | 69.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Hornets | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Hornets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Hornets | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Hornets | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)this page
- Hornets vs. 76ers76ers won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.