NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdcd472285583b482fce6a9fb86c53c5bd42c02785be84670696d28d621ac307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 63c | 59,045$37,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,194.11 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 47,168$30,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,187.57 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Wild | 37c | 45,764$16,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,831.39 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Avalanche | 63c | 30,058$18,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,936.55 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Wild | 36c | 21,735$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,910.36 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Wild | 37c | 14,233$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,966.79 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 36c | 13,450$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,608 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…7c91backed Wild | 36c | 12,555$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…d5fabacked Avalanche | 64c | 12,537$8,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,023.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…12acbacked Avalanche | 64c | 12,521$8,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,013.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…af50backed Wild | 36c | 12,478$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 37c | 11,729$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.37 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 36c | 8,995$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wild | 37c | 8,040$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.2 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild | 36c | 6,749$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.34 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Avalanche | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 37c | 6,116$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.08 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Avalanche | 31c | 5,512$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Wild | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Avalanche | 9c | 4,369$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 36c | 4,338$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 36c | 4,213$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.95 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 59c | 3,606$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wild | 37c | 3,590$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.71 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 62c | 3,561$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Wild | 36c | 3,510$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wild | 35c | 3,260$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.87 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Wild | 37c | 2,647$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.37 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Wild | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Wild | 46c | 1,973$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Wild | 37c | 1,973$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Wild | 37c | 1,919$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.92 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,822$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 37c | 1,821$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.44 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wild | 37c | 1,746$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.87 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wild | 36c | 1,731$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.6 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wild | 47c | 1,731$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.31 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Wild | 70c | 1,633$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 37c | 1,628$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wild | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.94 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 44c | 1,480$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.67 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 52c | 1,391$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Wild | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,346$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 36c | 1,329$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.3 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 62c | 1,220$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Wild | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Wild | 37c | 1,198$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 66c | 1,080$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Wild | 38c | 1,079$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.73 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Avalanche | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Wild | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Avalanche | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Wild | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Wild | 37c | 972$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…2ccbbacked Wild | 38c | 960$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wild | 37c | 935.83$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.57 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Avalanche | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 61c | 902.63$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.6 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Avalanche | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 42c | 861.74$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.21 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Avalanche | 7c | 857$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche | 62c | 847$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Avalanche | 63c | 820.97$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Avalanche | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Avalanche | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Wild | 37c | 789.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.51 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 64c | 789$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.96 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wild | 37c | 764$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Wild | 37c | 750$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wild | 37c | 700$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.12 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 62c | 674.12$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 46c | 665.05$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Avalanche | 65c | 629.23$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 44c | 610.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Wild | 38c | 599.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…c008backed Avalanche | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 36c | 565$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 552.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Wild | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed Wild | 38c | 547.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 541.48$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 34c | 541.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.38 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild | 37c | 536.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Avalanche | 38c | 522.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Wildthis page
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.