TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd00e…8807

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST4050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64.4
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$382.56
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$296.5
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$277.87
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$167.91
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$199.62
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$259.6
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$152.56
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$104.92
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$145.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$176.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$362
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$212.77
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$354.29
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$154.31
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$285.39
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$260.2
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$165.41
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$260.53
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.77
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$176.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$403.82
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$238
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$227.59
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$287.8
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+488.2%+$126.94
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44.5
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+488.2%+$168.44
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+809.1%+$464.42
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$190.31
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$114.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$128.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$178.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$266.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$192.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$193.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$284.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$309
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.