Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90dfb380a122fe11c73d8c3749ccebb6b63d210952dc8fd313ea2a31f1398d02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 59c | 3,388$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 2,608$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.33 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 80c | 2,503$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 2,044$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.85 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 1,939$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.44 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,686$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed No | 38c | 1,662$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 38c | 1,208$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 636$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.25 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 42c | 488.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 64c | 299.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 67c | 296.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked No | 38c | 242.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 44c | 224.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 24c | 210.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…397abacked Yes | 58c | 203.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 54c | 162.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 162.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 56c | 121.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 74.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 62.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 42c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 51c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Yes | 51c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 51c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Yes | 63c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.