TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90b6…3b53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$368.15
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$486.64
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$44.96
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$348.45
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130.1
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$254.31
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$237.7
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$146.38
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$336.11
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$111.78
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$419.06
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$215.79
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$216.51
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$360.94
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$158.5
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$125.56
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$127.8
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$290.3
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$220.03
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$304.14
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+163.2%+$318.16
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$183.7
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$298
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$352.69
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$363.99
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$124.5
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.8
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51.55
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$261.6
California vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$325.22
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah Statebacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$69
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75.8
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$216.5
New Mexico State vs. Western Kentuckybacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Navy vs. North Texasbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$99.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+91.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$236.34
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$88.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 5)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$205
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$97.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.