TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Wild, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Hurricanes64c95,159$60,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,457.2716656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Wild36c62,778$22,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,509.5913449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Hurricanes65c25,380$16,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,882.853339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Wild35c23,410$8,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,193.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wild35c23,360$8,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,176.1714538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Hurricanes65c12,500$8,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3751450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wild36c11,383$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.6541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wild33c10,045$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.2458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Hurricanes65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50011352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Wild34c8,995$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Wild46c8,629$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild35c7,486$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.4563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Wild35c6,369$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.985446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild36c5,501$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Wild35c5,116$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.4337847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hurricanes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Hurricanes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9731654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Wild36c4,794$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.055646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96a…9c0fbacked Hurricanes64c4,225$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Wild35c4,007$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Wild20c3,824$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.5533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Wild35c3,400$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild28c3,355$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.771,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes63c3,128$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.731,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Hurricanes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb65d…4925backed Hurricanes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hurricanes64c2,923$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.0829651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Wild36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild36c2,565$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.5554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Hurricanes65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.698541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d4…8713backed Hurricanes66c2,284$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.432138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Wild35c2,284$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.272161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wild31c2,114$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild35c2,096$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.41,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wild35c2,042$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Hurricanes80c1,815$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild35c1,740$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.3857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Hurricanes63c1,698$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Hurricanes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.466443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes65c1,476$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.722,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Wild36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Wild36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Hurricanes65c1,385$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6212548%60 W · 65 L-15.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f0a…7bc7backed Wild37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd548…e622backed Hurricanes64c1,351$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Wild38c1,331$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.29642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Hurricanes64c1,212$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.317152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Wild48c1,157$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.581050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Wild36c1,105$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.86543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d96…0b38backed Wild37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78f…0463backed Hurricanes64c1,081$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Wild19c1,052$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…36f2backed Hurricanes66c1,019$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.42665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37d5…9417backed Wild35c1,019$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.591838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Wild30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild35c998.48$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wild36c983.51$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild19c972.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.421,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Wild35c951$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Wild21c871.37$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8533837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Hurricanes51c867.94$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.946262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild33c860.04$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.681,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbd…8d64backed Wild36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40c…21a1backed Hurricanes65c833$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hurricanes66c728.98$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7484953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Wild36c630$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.816346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Hurricanes75c600.5$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.541877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild35c589.87$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa57d…2bfcbacked Wild16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Hurricanes65c555$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.257240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hurricanes76c548.73$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.749149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Wild35c522.27$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7910356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hurricanes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17519548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Wild35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bd…490cbacked Wild38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Hurricanes64c475$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17114245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild35c472.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.551,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Hurricanes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7523653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Hurricanes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.545141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c9e…c707backed Hurricanes78c426.37$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wild42c422$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2330848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Wild36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14423741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Hurricanes65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Hurricanes50c396.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.478360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Hurricanes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes65c369.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.81,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes65c369.93$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…8c93backed Wild44c343.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Wild30c335.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5220947.4%99 W · 110 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Hurricanes53c311.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4740550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23c…3993backed Hurricanes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild35c307.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Wild35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.