NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6092e904cce19d65f53d0d32375670e463dd0e23f3fbd0a383e6b694ad347125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Hurricanes, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 1,817$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 56c | 1,760$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.83 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hurricanes | 44c | 1,412$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.11 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Wild | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 59c | 417$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Hurricanes | 41c | 417$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a8…6fecbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 282$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wild | 57c | 234.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Hurricanes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wild | 56c | 209.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ef…cbbebacked Wild | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…b6e5backed Wild | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Hurricanes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Wild | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4457backed Wild | 61c | 31.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Wild vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.