NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a17d94c7a9f417e0593b305a2d251ffd1728513ea776ce02fc6ec83cd34820a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 41,943$20,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,690.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…26d1backed Under | 52c | 18,953$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 16,904$8,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,705.67 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 48c | 14,689$7,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Under | 52c | 5,624$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…0f9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,369$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 52c | 4,737$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.46 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 4,333$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.17 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 49c | 4,333$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.17 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 49c | 4,019$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.18 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…a478backed Over | 46c | 2,575$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…1c31backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…52bebacked Over | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f7…be88backed Over | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…6199backed Under | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…5c6bbacked Over | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…65d7backed Under | 55c | 1,280$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f1…5b3ebacked Over | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…c216backed Over | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…4bacbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 613.75$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…da07backed Over | 46c | 521$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 477.31$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…944fbacked Under | 54c | 320$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…52d2backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 45c | 112.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…e67abacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1d79backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 51c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.