TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec4…e67a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$27.58
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$38.67
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Utah vs. Canadiensbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62.6
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Wild vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$63.89
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$86.97
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$105.03
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+86.1%+$43.04
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.42
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+87%+$17.39
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$12.77
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+77%+$77.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+68.9%+$135.4
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$184.45
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.