NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2aa3f3cbd4b43728ca32e4f7ed47f5c86f0d1626fe5104965b0ed0f5815549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 53c | 80,000$42,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,799.96 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 47c | 34,617$16,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,270.07 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 20,783$9,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,768 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Under | 49c | 13,128$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,432.89 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 9,673$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.05 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Over | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Over | 50c | 5,510$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Under | 50c | 5,510$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Under | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Under | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…2729backed Over | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…502abacked Over | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 4,650$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.95 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,419$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.31 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,943$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.29 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 1,672$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.91 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 1,514$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 985.75$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.16 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 47c | 528.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.54 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 448.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 353$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 205.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 54c | 184.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 43c | 160.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Under | 48c | 139.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 27c | 87.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…e67abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Under | 49c | 50.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 50c | 38.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…2f6bbacked Under | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Under | 49c | 27.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…5cebbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. RangersRangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.