TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a08…7ff5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT5632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$21.99
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$6.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$19.8
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37.5%+$4.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.3%+$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.5%+$8.91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.5%+$28.66
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+111.9%+$16.78
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.91
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.75
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.67
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.09
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$18.86
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.87
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+400%+$48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$6.66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.08
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$28.77
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$133.92
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$492
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+243.8%+$541.24
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.4%+$213.61
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$6.93
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$42.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$29.75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$48.67
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.18
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+168%+$154.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+93.4%+$14.94
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.15
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23.85
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$63
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+55.1%+$46.85
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.64
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$10.02
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.1%+$15.5
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90.8%+$90.79
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+137.4%+$21.99
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.67
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+57.9%+$56.77
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$390
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.73
Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$28.42
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.4%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.