Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb893777e38764bb75a1f26ec2dea0c8bee026e7709e9b96259ea2c343178747c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 47c | 300,287$141,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,029.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 99,955$52,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,978.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 30,701$15,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.2 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 50c | 29,927$14,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,816.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…7b7abacked Yes | 0c | 23,514$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 14,500$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,774.28 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 43c | 8,000$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 7,079$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.47 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 5,670$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.52 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 3,323$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.29 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 3,295$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.52 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed No | 34c | 2,734$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,324$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 53c | 2,100$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed No | 61c | 1,652$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 73c | 1,575$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 1,526$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.35 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Yes | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 41c | 1,300$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 46c | 1,292$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,107$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 53c | 1,038$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 41c | 977.56$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 919.62$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.02 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 896.11$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.9 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 56c | 800$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 26c | 799.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.98 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 729.57$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.41 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 709.44$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 58c | 672.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 52c | 666$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…833bbacked No | 55c | 499.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 46c | 473.91$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 73c | 467.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 73c | 455$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…178abacked Yes | 44c | 446.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 56c | 415$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Yes | 42c | 376.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 44c | 282.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 50c | 260.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 55c | 245.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 45c | 219.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 64c | 215.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 213.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Yes | 71c | 212.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 61c | 211$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 53c | 210$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 43c | 207$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 50c | 200.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…fafabacked Yes | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 187.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 43c | 142.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 138.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Yes | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 55c | 123$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…22f1backed Yes | 73c | 121.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 121.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 46c | 117.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…7387backed No | 39c | 116.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 52c | 115.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 55c | 114.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 44c | 114.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?this page
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.