Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8dd8a57df1cc325595ab31d4702ae2f104c508a3d3398d77a60347ff4fd82e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,856$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 72c | 2,200$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 1,506$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.49 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,220$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 953.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.81 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 75c | 797.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 783.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 752.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 702.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 472.06$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.65 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 67c | 447.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 33c | 438.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 40c | 315$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 68c | 312.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 74c | 311.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 228.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 214$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 195.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 190$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 30c | 178.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 155.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +384.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 137$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…d7e3backed No | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 43c | 128.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 61c | 119.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 109.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Yes | 69c | 90.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 28c | 80.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 26c | 64.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 74c | 49.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 38.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…a07ebacked Yes | 64c | 32.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…22f1backed No | 80c | 30.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 67c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed No | 70c | 17.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?No won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.