TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8a9…22c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT8554.1%46 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$9.45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$118.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61.15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+95%+$63.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+46.4%+$102.05
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+39.8%+$14.23
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+41.2%+$14.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST5078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.74
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.48
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.3%+$12.2
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$9.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+67.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$315.79
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+30.1%+$30.1
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+70.5%+$24.8
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+71.9%+$13.66
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+39.4%+$6.85
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.2%+$14.4
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.5%+$10.04
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+94.8%+$14.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+79.6%+$26.6
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+55.2%+$12.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+76.4%+$21.66
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$20
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+71.7%+$8.35
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.08
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.2%+$8.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-6.9wins-0.38per pick66cpaid-61.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.