TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No61c9,206$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.841,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes39c7,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c6,761$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.361,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c5,401$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.8723633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c3,858$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.664240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c3,730$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.125,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No46c2,340$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.9117753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No61c1,742$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.363354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes38c1,590$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.21650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d23…8776backed Yes31c1,500$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes42c1,203$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5412449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c1,151$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9662349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes41c1,008$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.664055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No60c715.57$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.828532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No36c556.52$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9113153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No60c546.29$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.526056.7%34 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c526.87$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes40c510$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.375141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.916350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes42c476.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No50c470$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23513641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes34c458.51$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.886546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c456.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.381,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes33c442.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.195244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes12c398$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.766743.3%29 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+82%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c394.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6920132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c375.49$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8827540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes42c357.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes51c353.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.693964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes38c327$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2611742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes54c295.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609248.9%45 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4558…d800backed Yes31c288.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed No60c287.95$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c278$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.247155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No65c248.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.877945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes33c238.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.234040%16 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes36c231.58$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c229.61$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9539655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No76c226.31$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4429425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes36c224.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No67c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657060%42 W · 28 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No61c193$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.273650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes33c186.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.628446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed No59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes32c177.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1612535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes36c166.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.255343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c160.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.552,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No59c159.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.818647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No63c159.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes24c147.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c136.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4562652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.25655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes39c125.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.972564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc7…3d14backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes38c125$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes42c119.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506030%18 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes42c119.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes39c119$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.415121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes34c117.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920c…25b6backed Yes41c104.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+87.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes37c99.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c98.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.199141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.766048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No52c76.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.479435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No65c76.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.755038%19 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes55c69.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4911059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c65.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked No60c63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c62.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2214840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes34c54.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.265935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8513846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2614447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed No60c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Yes41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No61c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.168951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes36c42.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.367146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes31c40.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6538737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.