Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadef274c0fc884f17e58c47724fd0b1620db044456361c895312ced957b1af6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,278$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 663$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 410.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 371.3$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 72c | 275.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 67c | 250.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 248$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 245.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 65c | 157$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 28c | 139.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 123.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…fcd4backed Yes | 42c | 118.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 114.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 76c | 112.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 26c | 98.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 96.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 26c | 77.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 65.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 40.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 67c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.