TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cc7…3d14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+41.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$7.55
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.62
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+57%+$9.99
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Milwaukee Admiralsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.73
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.36
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$31.9
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+89%+$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.