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Premier League · resolved market

Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$670,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0bc…af98backed Yes55c547,061$300,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300,006.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No45c291,440$131,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,206.2327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c112,592$52,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,204.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No46c27,659$12,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,022.955271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.986137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes57c19,664$11,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,208.26746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c13,584$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.681,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c11,830$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,917.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No46c11,000$5,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.121,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c9,348$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,048.732,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c8,986$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,848.691,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c7,200$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,88835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No47c6,985$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7025455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No45c6,924$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.220239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c6,817$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.894,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No45c6,567$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.674841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No44c6,000$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3353053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No47c5,218$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.310050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked No48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No46c4,990$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.3421965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No49c4,800$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.17448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c4,471$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.251,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes3c4,000$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.633928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No46c3,556$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No49c2,500$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No48c2,408$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.335242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No47c2,336$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.077750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No46c2,310$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.6721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c2,301$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.919250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No46c1,977$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.4212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes53c1,935$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.8811446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes52c1,908$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed No46c1,722$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No77c1,297$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4410768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c1,284$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.491,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes57c1,279$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.032070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c1,196$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.381,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c0…940dbacked Yes54c1,124$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes54c1,122$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.769946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes44c884.68$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.262450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6ad9backed Yes25c784.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No44c770.45$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.45988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+65.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes47c663.9$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31811346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No44c600$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No45c599.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3328747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.996642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes53c591.7$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.67436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.114943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No46c565$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c541.21$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.511,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed No44c512.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.932857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes38c400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed No45c339.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.771729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes51c311.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae45…cce7backed No46c299.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No58c285$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No65c254.52$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No46c242$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No58c216.84$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes48c209.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4419654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes25c203.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.