Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f698477123aa39e02f509896682dccaa5171c3d5c5b32ef737b4208edce23a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 4c | 3,999$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,536$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,031$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.81 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 30c | 1,679$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,279$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 1,070$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 902.57$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.53 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 625.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 600.93$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 445$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 320.54$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 313.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 284.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 133.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 99.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 32c | 68.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 35c | 59.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 52c | 38.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 79c | 35.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…15d5backed Yes | 42c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…5614backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…39e4backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 22.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 80c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.