TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf79d…4350

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+614.3%+$184.29
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$148.56
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Hull City AFC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.43
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+48.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.1%+$67.25
FIFA Friendlies Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$80.79
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$57.13
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick75cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$31.65
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$64.07
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$450
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+525%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101%+$1,128.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
High Point Panthers vs. UIC Flamesbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Disney say "DraftKings" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,324.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.