TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Texans vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texansof Texans, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,915,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,564,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,915,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Titans30c2,500,061$750,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750,018.3617041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Texans70c1,996,482$1,397,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598,944.638344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Texans68c547,783$375,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,690.3830043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Titans9c118,439$11,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,187.7610026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Titans31c80,739$24,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,766.8416836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Texans69c74,483$51,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,089.610061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf915…388fbacked Texans63c43,011$27,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,838.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Texans70c40,574$28,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,356.220755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans40c25,794$10,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,288.2275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Titans39c22,491$8,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,660.138532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Titans30c18,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.914134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Titans12c17,500$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.3214438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Titans43c15,898$6,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,904.8573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Texans74c13,897$10,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.7860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Texans59c13,890$8,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.063748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Texans70c13,882$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.77248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans37c12,504$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.6420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Texans67c12,187$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Texans62c10,640$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.3524053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Titans30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Titans28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.988946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texans72c9,630$6,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.0953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Texans53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texans66c7,684$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.9750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Texans70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.865464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb41c…20f9backed Titans30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Titans31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1708343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Titans32c6,500$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.9818044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ff…8775backed Titans30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Titans29c5,900$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.5190%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Titans30c5,631$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.3414450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texans79c5,280$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Texans78c5,121$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Titans39c5,101$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.692528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Titans31c4,506$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.3326547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texans65c4,077$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.2819235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Titans30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b18…84f7backed Titans30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texans59c3,834$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.4819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Texans65c3,705$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.415766.7%38 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Texans73c3,600$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9846624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Texans70c3,329$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.575358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Texans62c3,308$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.9414763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Titans33c3,245$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.2923850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans38c3,093$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.3431848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Titans30c3,012$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7714443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Titans29c2,917$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.532050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texans70c2,853$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.5411643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans69c2,821$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.5731056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Titans29c2,797$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Texans80c2,762$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5227644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Titans36c2,678$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5216254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Texans70c2,471$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.433256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Texans70c2,403$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.94252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c9…d567backed Titans15c2,380$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.48175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-77.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Texans77c2,380$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.116960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Titans23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0214035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans49c2,159$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.8556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Titans30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…8015backed Texans70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Titans47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9917144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Texans70c1,959$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Titans31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c85…635cbacked Texans66c1,895$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95b…b009backed Texans79c1,885$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Texans67c1,855$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.092755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Titans36c1,830$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.127348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Texans70c1,805$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.534365.1%28 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d36…18a9backed Texans70c1,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…4418backed Texans70c1,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texans65c1,776$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0123244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4389…5b0cbacked Texans74c1,766$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.54366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Titans31c1,710$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.114945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x434c…0536backed Texans70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Texans70c1,699$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Texans72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44815044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Titans30c1,600$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Titans30c1,574$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.3365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Titans28c1,510$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8883447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709b…0a2dbacked Texans70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e3…1951backed Texans70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Texans76c1,495$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.86955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Titans8c1,478$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207337%27 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Texans70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…7eebbacked Texans70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c0…0faabacked Texans70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e9…af61backed Texans70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Texans72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Texans52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.1516344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x683e…df7fbacked Texans70c1,300$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…d0babacked Texans70c1,300$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8189…6e97backed Titans31c1,293$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.752544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Texans69c1,291$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.946149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Titans31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Texans75c1,276$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1131854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…4c62backed Texans70c1,274$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e54fbacked Titans39c1,255$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Titans36c1,233$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.671338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Titans29c1,200$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35413842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.