NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Titans: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9443467c81581dd1e43d08231562d08c0944074da66d3e891ef65687bb2cb0a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Texans, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5833…d685backed Titans | 36c | 1,050$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3631backed Titans | 37c | 899.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…e575backed Texans | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…7705backed Texans | 63c | 399.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Titans | 39c | 372$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0b…e5afbacked Titans | 36c | 356$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…1959backed Texans | 64c | 349$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…508dbacked Texans | 64c | 331$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…fdeabacked Texans | 64c | 321$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…92e1backed Texans | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…c504backed Texans | 63c | 299.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…7896backed Texans | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 62c | 134$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texans | 61c | 128.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texans | 61c | 79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Titans | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Texans | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Titans | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…1de6backed Texans | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Titans: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Spread: Texans (-5.5)Titans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Titans won
- Spread: Texans (-7.5)Titans won
- Spread: Texans (-8.5)Titans won
- Texans vs. TitansTexans won
- Texans vs. Titans: O/U 37.5Under won
- Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5Under won
- Texans vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.